天气预报简称什么?

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“天气”英文为weather,所以“天气预报”的英文就是weatheropplication(简写为weather)。 那么用英语如何向别人解释什么是“天气预报”呢? Weather is the state of the atmosphere at a given time and place. In other words, it is our global sky. It has everything to do with weather because it includes all of the atmosphere: air, water vapour, clouds, precipitation, temperatures and humidity. You can think of the "atmosphere" as space between Earth's surface and space! All these elements come together in order to form weather.

The forecast is based on the analysis of this complex system that surrounds us. We use this same information to make predictions about severe storms, tornadoes, floods or freezes. The National Weather Service does not predict “pleasant” days. Rather, they are focused on the day’s safety and preparedness. And so we should be.

If you were able to go back in time 100 years, what would you see? You might see someone wearing a top hat, gloves and long sleeves to protect themselves from the sun. They may have lived through one or more “polar vortexes”, where cold blasts of arctic air threaten life and cause power outages. Or maybe you could talk to someone who was there for JFK’s assassination, when a bullet ripped through clear blue skies and changed the course of history forever.

In just the last decade alone, weather has transformed into something entirely different than it had been decades before. Advances in technology have allowed us to see farther back in time, capture higher resolution images, and gather faster accurate data on systems once unknowable. But with every new advance comes new questions, like how will artificial intelligence change forecasting? Will we be able to detect and prevent harmful human-caused impacts on the climate before catastrophic change becomes irreversible? How will extreme heat, drought, fire, flooding and windstorms continue to affect hundreds of millions of people in the future?

With the right tools—and your help—we can answer these questions and prepare everyone for what lies ahead.

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气象预报

气象预报又称天气预报(weather forecast)是一种科学。它在20世纪上半叶经历了一段非常有意思的演进过程。其时西方科学界认为气象预报是靠长期积累的归纳经验来预测未来。但是20世纪中叶之后,天气预报经历了一个非常有趣的转变。这个转变是:由原先那种建立在归纳科学基础上的定性的“趋势外推”逐渐转变为一种纯粹的具有可计算性和实证性的数值预报。从其历史发展演进过程看,天气预报的科学性还是应当承认的。“天气预报”的名称最早是美国人采用的。当时,中国国内是仍称为“气象预报”(如上海《新闻报》等)。

天气预报是对未来具体某一时刻、某地点或者某区域的天气变化状态的预测。天气预报是气象员对天气事实的分析和说明。它应当具有无可争辩的权威性。气象员对天气预报的说明是基于自己对各种气象数据的分析和处理,是对天气本身的阐述和解释,不是气象员个人意愿的自由发挥。所以,这种“说明”不是“天气说明”。“天气说明”是基于个人的意愿或者基于某种不确定的因素去“说明”天气。

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